Industry
Update- April 24, 2006
Last week I attended a very rewarding MHI
2006 Congress & Expo for Manufactured and
Modular Housing along with Adam
Cook-VP and Christina Mays-Asset
Manager of Commonwealth, preceded by
the first annual National Resident Relations
Forum sponsored by MHI’s
National Communities Council. The
theme this year was “Building Dreams,
One Home At a Time”, and
I wanted to share a few of the highlights from
the conference with you.
There were a couple of common themes echoed by
all of the participants throughout the three-day
event. The first was undoubtedly the questionable
health of the manufactured housing industry and
what we can do to improve our image across the
country. A few minutes were wasted on finger
pointing, but mostly the entire conference was
in agreement that we all must work harder to make
the home buyers experience a much better experience
than it historically has been. A speaker
from JD Powers & Associates
gave numerous examples of how customers never
forget a poor buying experience and how we must
respond to customers’ expectations.
MHI has contracted with JD Powers to conduct
research and interview hundreds of manufactured
home buyers about the product and the purchase.
One lender representative said most Wall Street
analysts he knows get educated about the manufactured
home business by watching Fox News (hurricanes,
tornados, FEMA etc.) and he reminded us that the
public’s image of manufactured housing does
not resemble what we know to be true about the
product. It brought to mind how important
our NW Pride image advertising
program is (www.nwpride.org)
and how we would benefit from launching a NW
Pride-type campaign nationally.
This is being considered but only after the results
of the JD Powers & Associates research is
completed, which should be early next year.
A second speaker, from CapGemini
in Atlanta was an expert on business transformation
and change. He works exclusively with large
corporations and industries undergoing change
or transformation and he enlightened many of us
about the importance of change and how launching
change properly can pay great dividends and doing
it wrong will cause enormous problems for companies.
Jack Wells, the famous CEO of
General Electric used to say
something like “the change train is leaving
the station and we’d like to have you on-board”
and our speaker drove home the point that constant
change is good and never changing spells doom.
He pointed out that when Richard Branson
started Virgin Atlantic Airways
he realized day-one that he was entering the hospitality
business, not the airline business. Our
speaker used that comparison and drew similarities
to manufactured housing. Baby
boomers want amenities, activities, features and
a fun/comfortable/active lifestyle,
not just a spot to plant their home and a cheap
home to plant on the spot. The most successful
manufactured home community operators in the country
have embraced this philosophy and are creating
new ways to re-invigorate their manufactured housing
communities. Attracting new residents is
highly competitive and it takes imagination and
a sense of style. We came away with a wealth
of ideas on how to re-invigorate some Commonwealth
communities --- I hope our clients will welcome
the suggestions!
Lenders discussed long-term leases and a variety
of other assurances they will be looking for from
community owners if chattel (in-park/personal
property) lending will continue. The big
guns --- 21st Mortgage (A Berkshire-Hathaway/Clayton
company), Triad Financial Services, Origen
Financial and CU Factory Built
Lending all chimed in on the state of
chattel lending and the degree in which they investigate
and score a loan applicant before approving financing.
There is little immediate relief in sight for
chattel loan interest rates, as percentage losses
on manufactured home loan defaults continue to
exceed 50% in most cases - a rate far greater
than all other major loan categories. The
good news is that FHA Title 1 financing
reform is a top priority of MHI, and if passed,
new loan limits will be raise to $68,000 and this
government-insured financing will open-up a plentiful
supply of new personal property financing.
Long term (10 year) leases are being debated by
an industry committee which may recommend a lease
that caps annual rent increases at the CPI+1%
plus tax, insurance and utility pass-thrus and
capital improvements. The trade off could
be a relaxing of interests rates in communities
that implement this lease. It would also
include a formula for sharing the re-marketing
of lender repossession expenses that ultimately
would give the lender and community owner more
equality with regard to repossessed homes without
requiring the community to enter into a quasi-recourse
agreement currently being promoted by some lenders.
We will wait and see what this committee introduces
before passing final judgment.
The Community Attributes System (CAS)
and MHVillage.com have been launched.
According to MHI, “In an effort to increase
lending availability for homes in land-lease communities
and eliminate out-dated rating systems, MHI created
the Community Attributes System with the goal
of providing up-to-date and more complete information
about communities that can be accessed by lenders
and appraisers. The CAS collects a uniform
set of over 75 objective attributes about a community.”
The chattel lending panel strongly urged all community
owners to register their communities with the
CAS. To create your account go to www.manufacturedhousing.org
and click on the Community Attributes System link.
The highlight was Thursday’s appearance
by outspoken (if not downright blunt) real estate
mogul Sam Zell of Equity
Investment Group, which includes Equity
Office, Equity Residential, and Equity Lifestyle
(formerly MHC). Know as “the Grandfather
of the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT)”
Zell is a man of un-paralleled real estate experience
who has an incredible knack for predicting the
real estate market. Zell entertained and
enlightened conference attendees with a rapid-fire
presentation on housing, global economics and
life. He predicts a slowing,
but steady real estate market, quantified why
he thinks interest rates will stay low and says
the baby boomers are the wealthiest generation
to retire in history, by far. He likes our
business and our ability to provide affordable
retirement communities with lots of amenities
for the active retiree and he urged us to improve
our image, citing our tendency to only make the
news when things go wrong (hurricanes & FEMA
again). He preached the gospel of a global
economy, trade deficits and how other countries
and their economies and currencies influence our
everyday life. He shared a fascinating statistic
that every day, in Saudi Arabia alone, nearly
$500,000,000 (yes, five hundred million
dollars) in cash enters the liquidity
market and must be “placed” or invested
somewhere. Cash is everywhere these days
--- and the real estate business loves cash.
It was fun to have a billionaire in the room ---
especially one wearing jeans and an open collared
shirt and using language most commonly heard in
a biker bar.
The bottom line --- people expect
quality, they expect service, they expect amenities,
they want a lifestyle not just a home, and they
will pay for it if you deliver what they want.
Gone, for good, are the days when you can force
the manufactured home buyer to do half of the
work for you, and then pass the blame to a factory
or subcontractor when they have a complaint.
Turn-key home sales and communities offering a
“lifestyle” is what it’s all
about folks, and they have made me a believer.
Greg
Harmon - President
Commonwealth Real Estate Services
E-mail: greg@cwres.com
Telephone 503.244.2300 Ext. 101