Industry
Update - June 3, 2003
Here
are some interesting developments taking place at the State
and Federal level that directly effect our industry.
In
Washington State, a bill was heard (HB1741) which would
prohibit local governments from discriminating against a
consumers' housing choice. This bill made some progress
in the 2003 Legislative Session but ultimately again fell
victim to a very vehement opponent, Representative Steve
Kirby (D) Tacoma. Rep. Kirby, a former Tacoma City Council
member has taken his opposition to manufactured housing
to an unprecedented level in which he utilizes blackmail
threats to his party and preaches gross misinformation about
manufactured housing.
The
House Local Government Committee, where the Chair is Representative
Sandra Romero (the bill's primary sponsor) heard testimony
on the bill. The hearing was routine with WMHA's lobbyist
and Director speaking for the measure with the support of
the realtors. A small panel of city officials, lead by the
city of Vancouver spoke in opposition on the basis that
zoning is a local option. With no comments or questions,
the Committee then voted the bill out unanimously 10 to
0 much to the shock of the city officials. 7 of the 10 voting
Committee members for former city council members which
was a huge victory against the local rights argument.
The
bill then proceeded to House Rules Committee from where
it must be passed out onto the House calendar for a vote.
As in past years, Representative Kirby immediately threatened
to vote against all future party issues if House Bill 1741
passed out onto the calendar. But unlike last year, the
Democratic party had a large enough majority to ignore the
blackmail and the legislation passed onto the House calendar.
When the Democratic Caucus met to decide which bills were
to go to the voting calendar, Representative Kirby then
put on what was later described as an "emotional tirade"
about ruining good neighborhoods with single-wides on wheels
and axles. His vehemence was so strong that the issue was
tabled. With only 8 hours before the passage deadline, the
bill was dead for the session. WMHA lobbyist, Mike Ryherd,
felt confident that the factual knowledge and votes were
present in the caucus and that with more time the measure
would have been passed. The good news is that next session,
the bill starts back in Rules Committee with time on the
industry's side.
In
Oregon State OMHA has succeeded in successfully passing
their Freddie Mac bill, which is on the Governor's desk
for his signature. DMV is already drafting the necessary
forms to exempt the title of a home on 20+ year leased land
in approved communities and OMHA will be sponsoring a seminar
in the very near future to educate retailers, community
owners, lenders and manufacturers on the Freddie Mac long
term lease program. Legislation (SB468) moving manufactured
housing from DMV to Building Codes Division (BCD) continues
to make steady progress, but legislation mandating the licensing
and back ground checks of retailers and sales people looks
to be dying. It's not because of a lack of support, but
because BCD has concerns about the costs related to implementation
and managing this program. This is a personal defeat for
me, as I have been a very vocal proponent of this movement
and have spent 3+ years working toward the ultimate goal
of improving the quality of people selling manufactured
homes in Oregon. The original idea for this legislation
came as a result of Attorney General Hardy Myers Manufactured
Housing Task Force which convened on March 30, 2001. It's
amazing how the government wants you to clean up your own
industry, so you work for 3 years to bring unprecedented
reform and regulation upon yourself, and then it's that
very same government that lets you down at the 11th hour.
The important thing to remember, and the real victory in
all of this, is the tremendous ground swell of support this
measure received from nearly every respected industry leader
in manufactured housing. While a few opponents felt it didn't
go far enough to bring reform to the industry it was a giant
leap in the right direction and would have been the first
big step toward bringing a new level of credibility and
professionalism to manufactured home sales. There's always
next session.
Manufactured
home production in Oregon (which reflects directly on Washington
sales too) appears to be 8% lower year-to-date than 2002,
and 62% lower than the peak of 1998. While this decline
continues to puzzle many people, the bigger issue is that
the demand for manufactured homes remains constant but the
vast majority of sales are still in the repossession market
versus new homes. The good news is that if consumers continue
to absorb these repossessions at this rate the repo market
will eventually dry up and people will return to purchasing
new homes in greater numbers. All lenders are reporting
their long lists of repossessed manufactured homes are getting
shorter, which means that we really can see substantial
light at the end of this tunnel.
OMHA's
Don Miner met with Molly Bordonaro, a member of the Fannie
Mae board of directors regarding Fannie Mae's newly announced
modifications to manufactured home mortgage financing. She
anticipates that the manufactured housing issue will be
discussed at the July 2003 meeting of the Fannie Mae Board
of Directors. She appeared to be very knowledgeable regarding
the issues and has asked for help in preparing for the meeting.
She has asked the industry to provide her with a short memorandum
outlining our concerns with recommendations on what should
be done to preserve the program in it's current state. Don
will provide her with that information, with some assistance
from MHI. Molly said that she believes it is important for
Fannie Mae to continue providing financing for manufactured
housing in order to meet it's Congressionally mandated affordable
housing obligations.
Nationally,
Conseco Finance will re-emerge from Bankruptcy next month
as Greentree once again. They will slowly re-enter the financing
market, first financing their own repos then eventually
financing new and pre-owned homes with chattel and land/home
financing. This is great news for all of us and points towards
another element of the overall industry recovery we've been
looking for. Also, there appears to be a snag in the sale
of Clayton Homes to Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway
Company, with shareholders accusing Clayton of breaching
their fiduciary responsibility by selling the company too
cheap. Insiders tell me they'll all kiss and make-up and
the sale will go through, but who knows for sure? Is there
a Clayton/Oakwood merger in our future once the dust settles?
Stay tuned.
In
May 2003 we welcomed three new management clients to Commonwealth.
Manasco's Mobile Park in Kelso, Washington, Battleground
Mobile Estates in Battleground, Washington, and Hidden Meadows
in Eugene, Oregon. Welcome to Commonwealth!
Greg
Harmon - President
Commonwealth Real Estate Services
E-mail: greg@cwres.com
Telephone 503.244.2300 Ext. 101