Industry
Update - August 14, 2006
Information sharing in the manufactured
housing industry is getting better all the time.
With the use of the Internet and email we can
now distribute information with the click of a
mouse. One of the newsletters I receive
is Marty Lavin’s “Marty’s
News & Notes”. Click
here to read July's newsletter. Marty
does a great job telling it like he sees it.
In the latest issue (Volume 6 Issue 7) Marty talks
about customer satisfaction, FEMA, shipments,
the MHI summer meeting and more. I strongly
suggest you email Marty and become a regular recipient.
It’s informative and it’s free.
SHIPMENTS. MHI is reporting
in their latest Economic Report, comparing June
2005 with 2006 that June shipments were up in
11 states, down in 31 states and flat in 7 states
year-over-year. Mississippi, Louisiana,
Wyoming, New Mexico, Texas and Montana lead the
up states. In the Pacific Northwest Idaho
was up 12.3%, Washington up 12.2%, Oregon was
essentially unchanged. Rhode Island, Colorado,
New Jersey, Indiana, Michigan, Nebraska, Kansas
and Florida lead the down states. Utah is
down 25%, Nevada is down 17%, California is down
16% and Arizona is down 10%. Year-to-date
shipments are up 1.7% compared to the same period
last year when you include FEMA shipments.
Over that period, single-section homes are up
22.6% and multi-section homes are down 4.7%.
If you exclude FEMA orders from these year-to-date
numbers most agree that shipments are approximately
4% below 2005.
The post-Katrina rebuilding and recovery continues
to result in increased shipments of HUD-coded
homes in the affected areas. Outside of
this area there were a few positive results in
the West and in a handful of other areas throughout
the nation, but shipment declines’ in major
HUD-Code states like California and Florida continue
to reduce national shipments totals. In
June, site-built single-family housing starts
declined 14% from the same month in 2005.
The largest drop-off in activity occurred in the
Northeast where starts were down 38%, year-over-year.
Sales of new and existing homes also were down
sharply in June as inventories became bloated.
NEWS AND COMMENTARY. As
new manufactured home shipments continue to decline
talk of a sweeping industry makeover is gaining
momentum. It seems like I have been in several
meetings lately where the talk turns to customer
satisfaction and the holes in our antiquated marketing,
advertising, sales, financing, and delivery and
distribution process. Think about it ---
we tell consumers that we’ve never built
a better product and it’s “just like
or better than stick built, only less expensive”
but few retailers offer the consumer a truly turn-key
finished home. How many MH retailers can
you walk into with a pocket full of money and
in-turn get a home, land and improvements, completely
finished and ready for move-in with little effort
beyond choosing your décor preferences
and some customization (windows, fixtures, appliances
etc.). Not very many.
For that matter, how many retailers are also land
developers and regularly own a supply of land
they’re in the process of developing for
their future home buyers? Can you imagine
how few homes Centex, DR Horton, Pulte or others
would sell if, before they built you a home you,
the buyer, had to go find the land, clear the
land, improve the land, obtain permits, draw up
plans, coordinate installation of the utilities,
prepare everything for the delivery of the home
and in some cases arrange for financing?
And then once the home was “built”
you had to deal with various other subcontractors
in getting the place finished? Could we
possibly make it any harder for someone to buy
a manufactured home and end up satisfied with
their buying decision? However, I can provide
specific examples where MH land-lease community
owners are placing new, completely finished and
landscaped NEW manufactured homes in their communities
in Oregon or Washington and getting quick sales
at top-dollar. It’s what the consumer
wants!
Look for your leaders in the Pacific Northwest
to lead the need for change. Real, meaningful
change.
MANUFACTURED HOUSING COMMUNITY NEWS.
Today, August 14, the City of Lynnwood, Washington
will consider an amendment to their Comprehensive
Plan to provide a new designation for a Mobile
Home Park Zone, which if passed could result in
existing parks being involuntarily rezoned to
this new mobile home park zone that prohibits
the owner from redeveloping the property and using
the property for anything other than a mobile
home park. Many community owners have written
letters objecting to this amendment and several
will be on hand to testify. In Portland,
communities continue to close to make way for
new development. Tonight a public meeting
is being held to discuss the closing of three
communities in the upscale Portland suburb of
Beaverton, Oregon. These communities are
directly across the street from the Nike World
Headquarters campus. Click
here to read in part the article in a local
newspaper.
POLITICALLY SPEAKING, many members
of the trade association Manufactured Housing
Communities of Oregon were stunned to learn that
one of their own board members and a former MHCO
President decided to run against
Oregon House Speaker Karen Minnis
--- a friend of the manufactured home industry
in Oregon and someone community owners have tirelessly
supported through their MHCO-Political Action
Committee. Representative Minnis is one
of the most powerful people at the Capitol and
many MHCO members have volunteered to help her
canvas her district or have hosted fundraisers
for her re-election. The Oregon Manufactured
Housing Association has also been a strong advocate
of Speaker Minnis. Not only is she an experienced
leader but she understands our issues and knows
our business. Nevertheless, the linked
article was published in The Oregonian Newspaper
last week.
If you are a community owner, operator, lender
or property manager you shouldn’t miss George
Allen’s 15th Annual International Networking
Roundtable, held during National Land-lease Community
Week on September 13-15 at the Pointe Hilton Tapatio
Cliffs Resort in Phoenix, Arizona. This
meeting attracts the “who’s who”
of manufactured home land-lease communities and
the agenda is packed with interactive workshops
and fantastic discussions filled with useful information.
Meet and network with the most influential people
in your industry and make valuable contacts.
I attended my first INR last year and met people
from all over the country that I now correspond
with regularly. I won’t miss another
International Networking Roundtable. For
more information contact George Allen at 877-MFD-HSNG
(633-4764) or email gallenh@manufactured-housing.net.
His mailing address is GFA Management, PO
Box 47024, Indianapolis, IN 46247.
Make plans to join your colleagues for the 70th
MHI Annual Meeting in Tucson, October 29-31, 2006,
at the Marriott Starr Pass. With the meeting just
around the corner, you’ll want to begin
planning for your participation right away. This
meeting includes a National Community Council
Issues Forum. Visit the MHI
Web site for meeting information and online
registration. If you have questions, contact Megan
O’Kane at 703-558-0663 or mokane@mfghome.org.
Make your hotel reservations at the JW Marriott
Starr Pass and take advantage of the reserved
block of rooms for all MHI attendees. The cut
off date for these rooms at the special MHI rate
of $179 per night + tax is September 29, 2006.
Reservations can be made online through the MHI
Web site or by calling 888-527-8989. Be sure
to mention the MHI Annual Meeting when making
your reservations. When making online reservations,
the special MHI group code (mhimhia) will automatically
appear in the Special Rates section. If you select
another promotion or discount option, the MHI
code will disappear and you will need to re-enter
the code to receive the special MHI rate.
Greg
Harmon - President
Commonwealth Real Estate Services
E-mail: greg@cwres.com
Telephone 503.244.2300 Ext. 101